Expert Bet on Jared Goff Tonight

Expert Bet on Jared Goff Tonight

Lions vs Chiefs Player Prop: Expert Bet on Jared Goff Tonight article feature image
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Getty Photographs. Pictured: Jared Goff.

Jared Goff

Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-120, bet365)

This prop is a good way to reap the benefits of the Chiefs being with out Chris Jones tonight.

Goff ought to have a a lot cleaner pocket with Jones lacking. The Lions QB’s landing per try fee went up from 2.7% when dealing with strain to five.7% with a clear pocket.

Lions coach Dan Campbell can also be more likely to keep aggressive tonight at Kansas Metropolis. He’ll know the Lions might want to put up loads of factors to beat the Chiefs, even when the reigning champs are with out Travis Kelce.

A few of this logic stems from my wager on Goff to steer the NFL in passing touchdowns at 35-1. Solely 56% of the Lions’ offensive touchdowns got here by the air final season (league common was 61%), and he conceded a ton of short-yardage touchdowns to Jamaal Williams. I anticipate Goff to see constructive TD regression this season.

Kansas Metropolis is an effective opponent to start out this with. The Chiefs allowed a league-high 5.4% landing fee final season. In truth, Ok.C. allowed 12 of the 17 QBs it confronted within the common season to throw for a number of passing touchdowns. Three of the QBs who didn’t throw for at the very least two had been backups in Malik Willis, Bryce Perkins and Jarrett Stidham. Which means 12 of 14 beginning QBs cleared this whole in opposition to the Chiefs final season.

I am projecting this nearer to -145 however love the upside right here. I might wager it as much as -130.

This wager is offered throughout the board at DraftKings (-120), bet365 (-120), BetMGM (-120) and FanDuel (-128).

Decide: Jared Goff Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-128)

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